The 2012 predictions in review

Still alive. As usual, to remind you of what happened last year, here are our mathematics-based predictions and Sports Illustrated’s expertise-based predictions compared to the actual results of the 2012 MLB season. Very obvious that the Orioles and the Nationals beat expectations (and the Red Sox did…not). If it’s possible to be proud of my ability to do addition and division on a calculator, then I’m most proud of our correct prediction about the Marlins’ order of finish, compared to Sports Illustrated having bought the hype that, hard as it is to believe now, actually existed around the Marlins at this time last year. 2013 predictions to come later this week, after SI arrives in my mailbox.

Especially

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Sports Illustrated prediction Baseballrelated.com prediction Actual Results
AL East
1. N.Y. Yankees (95-67) 1. N.Y. Yankees (96-66) 1. N.Y. Yankees (95-67)
2. Tampa Bay Rays (92-70) 2. Tampa Bay Rays (93-69) 2. Baltimore Orioles (93-69)
3. Boston Red Sox (91-71) 3. Boston Red Sox (90-72) 3. Tampa Bay Rays (90-72)
4. Toronto Blue Jays (85-77) 4. Toronto Blue Jays (82-80) 4. Toronto Blue Jays (73-89)
5. Baltimore Orioles (63-99) 5. Baltimore Orioles (68-94) 5. Boston Red Sox (69-93)
AL Central
1. Detroit Tigers (93-69) 1. Detroit Tigers (90-72) 1. Detroit Tigers (88-74)
2. Kansas City Royals (82-80) 2. Chicago White Sox (82-80) 2. Chicago White Sox

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(85-77)

3. Cleveland Indians (80-82) 3. Cleveland Indians (76-86) 3. Kansas City Royals (72-90)
4. Minnesota Twins (72-90) 4. Minnesota Twins (73-89) 4. Cleveland Indians (68-94)
5. Chicago White Sox (67-95) 5. Kansas City Royals (70-92) 5. Minnesota Twins (66-96)
AL West
1. L.A. Angels (97-65) 1. Texas Rangers (94-68) 1. Oakland Athletics (94-68)
2. Texas Rangers (94-68) 2. L.A. Angels (84-78) 2. Texas Rangers (93-69)
3. Oakland Athletics (68-94) 3. Oakland Athletics (76-86) 4. L.A. Angels (89-73)
4. Seattle Mariners (64-98) 4. Seattle Mariners (65-97) 4. Seattle Mariners (75-87)
NL East
1. Philadelphia Phillies (94-68) 1. Philadelphia Phillies (100-62) 1. Washington Nationals (98-64)
2. Miami Marlins (89-73) 2. Atlanta Braves (90-72) 2. Atlanta Braves (94-68)
3. Washington Nationals (84-78) 3. N.Y. Mets (78-84) 3. Miami Marlins (69-93)
4. Atlanta Braves (82-80) 4. Washington Nationals (76-86) 4. N.Y. Mets (74-88)
5. N.Y. Mets (75-87) 5. Miami Marlins (75-87) 5. Miami Marlins (69-93)
NL Central
1. Cincinnati Reds (89-73) 1. Milwaukee Brewers (90-72) 1. Cincinnati Reds (97-65)
2. St. Louis Cardinals (87-75) 2. St. Louis Cardinals (89-73) 2. St. Louis Cardinals (88-74)
3. Milwaukee Brewers (84-78) 3. Cincinnati Reds (83-79) 3. Milwaukee Brewers (83-79)
4. Pittsburgh Pirates (70-92) 4. Chicago Cubs (72-90) 4. Pittsburgh Pirates (79-83)
5. Chicago Cubs (66-96) 5. Pittsburgh Pirates (67-95) 5. Chicago Cubs (61-101)
6. Houston Astros (57-105) 6. Houston Astros (63-99) 6. Houston Astros (55-107)
NL West
1. San Francisco Giants (90-72) 1. San Francisco Giants (88-74) 1. San Francisco Giants (94-68)
2. Arizona Diamondbacks (88-74) 2. Arizona Diamondbacks (84-78) 2. L.A. Dodgers (86-76)
3. L.A. Dodgers (83-79) 3. L.A. Dodgers (81-81) 3. Arizona Diamondbacks (81-81)
4. Colorado Rockies (79-83) 4. San Diego Padres (77-85) 4. San Diego Padres (76-86)
5. San Diego Padres (70-92) 5. Colorado Rockies (76-86) 5. Colorado Rockies (64-98)

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