2016 predictions

Time once again for our annual exercise in proving that using a formula that only takes into account number of wins in past seasons is just about as accurate, if not more so, than “expert” human prediction.

At least this year, Sports Illustrated acknowledged that they almost never get the World Series teams right, so this year they’ve used their own formula to declare that the Series will be Astros defeating the Cubs.

But they did print a great article on the Rays’ most exciting player Kevin Kiermaier in the magazine a couple weeks ago (not available online yet), so I’ll forgive them. (Chris Archer is great, but the only exciting thing about him is his hair.)

Will there be any baseball-related program activities in 2016, given that our previous major activities were in 2004 and 2010 and it seems to fit a pattern? Unfortunately, my career is in a bit of flux (that is, April 18 is my last day of employment at my current job), and Levi’s career is such that he can’t take as much time off as he’d like. But please stay tuned.

Sports Illustrated prediction Baseballrelated.com prediction
AL East
1. Toronto Blue Jays (93-69) 1. Toronto Blue Jays (90-72)
2. Boston Red Sox (92-70) 2. Baltimore Orioles (86-76)
3. Tampa Bay Rays (84-78) 2. N.Y. Yankees (86-76)
4. N.Y. Yankees (83-79) 4. Tampa Bay Rays (79-83)
5. Baltimore Orioles (69-93) 4. Boston Red Sox (76-86)
AL Central
1. Kansas City Royals (90-72) 1. Kansas City Royals (93-69)
2. Cleveland Indians (83-79) 2. Cleveland Indians (82-80)
3. Detroit Tigers (80-82) 3. Detroit Tigers (79-83)
4. Chicago White Sox (77-85) 3. Minnesota Twins (79-83)
5. Minnesota Twins (74-88) 5. Chicago White Sox (75-87)
AL West
1. Houston Astros (94-68) 1. L.A. Angels (89-73)
2. Texas Rangers (90-72) 2. Houston Astros (81-81)
3. Seattle Mariners (82-80) 2. Texas Rangers (81-81)
4. L.A. Angels (72-90) 4. Seattle Mariners (80-82)
5. Oakland Athletics (63-99) 5. Oakland Athletics (75-87)
NL East
1. N.Y. Mets (95-67) 2. Washington Nationals (87-75)
2. Washington Nationals (86-76) 2. N.Y. Mets (86-76)
3. Miami Marlins (78-84) 3. Miami Marlins (73-89)
4. Philadelphia Phillies (63-99) 4. Atlanta Braves (71-91)
5. Atlanta Braves (60-102) 5. Philadelphia Phillies (66-96)
NL Central
1. Chicago Cubs (99-63) 1. St. Louis Cardinals (97-65)
2. St. Louis Cardinals (90-72) 2. Pittsburgh Pirates (95-67)
3. Pittsburgh Pirates (87-75) 3. Chicago Cubs (89-73)
4. Milwaukee Brewers (70-92) 4. Milwaukee Brewers (73-89)
5. Cincinnati Reds (68-94) 5. Cincinnati Reds (68-94)
NL West
1. L.A. Dodgers (93-69) 1. L.A. Dodgers (93-69)
2. San Francisco Giants (88-74) 2. San Francisco Giants (85-77)
3. Arizona Diamondbacks (81-81) 3. San Diego Padres (75-87)
4. San Diego Padres (73-89) 4. Arizona Diamondbacks (74-88)
4. Colorado Rockies (73-89) 5. Colorado Rockies (67-95)

2015 predictions in review

Hey, remember how the Sports Illustrated World Series prediction for 2015 was Indians vs. Nationals? And how they had the Red Sox winning the AL East? And the Mariners winning the AL West? Ha ha ha ha (pausing to wipe away tears of derision)!

What’s that? Are you scanning down to see where the baseballrelated.com formula had the Cubs finishing? Hey, look over there — a big distracting thing!

Sports Illustrated Baseballrelated.com Actual Results
AL East
1. Boston Red Sox (89-73) 1. Baltimore Orioles (92-70) 1. Toronto Blue Jays (93-69)
2. Toronto Blue Jays (84-78) 2. N.Y. Yankees (84-78) 2. N.Y. Yankees (87-75)
3. Baltimore Orioles (82-80) 3. Tampa Bay Rays (82-80) 3. Baltimore Orioles (81-81)
4. New York Yankees (77-85) 4. Toronto Blue Jays (80-82) 4. Tampa Bay Rays (80-82)
5. Tampa Bay Rays (74-88) 4. Boston Red Sox (80-82) 5. Boston Red Sox (78-84)
AL Central
1. Cleveland Indians (92-70) 1. Detroit Tigers (91-71) 1. Kansas City Royals (95-67)
2. Detroit Tigers (87-75) 2. Kansas City Royals (88-74) 2. Minnesota Twins (83-79)
3. Chicago White Sox (83-79) 3. Cleveland Indians (87-75) 3. Cleveland Indians (81-80)
4. Kansas City Royals (78-84) 4. Chicago White Sox (70-92) 4. Chicago White Sox (76-86)
5. Minnesota Twins (67-95) 5. Minnesota Twins (69-93) 5. Detroit Tigers (74-87)
AL West
1. Seattle Mariners (95-67) 1. L.A. Angels (91-71) 1. Texas Rangers (88-74)
2. L.A. Angels (92-70) 1. Oakland Athletics (91-71) 2. Houston Astros (86-76)
3. Oakland Athletics (81-81) 3. Seattle Mariners (82-80) 3. L.A. Angels (85-77)
4. Texas Rangers (73-89) 4. Texas Rangers (75-87) 4. Seattle Mariners (76-86)
5. Houston Astros (72-90) 5. Houston Astros (64-98) 5. Oakland Athletics (68-94)
NL East
1. Washington Nationals (99-63) 1. Washington Nationals (93-69) 1. N.Y. Mets (90-72)
2. Miami Marlins (85-77) 2. Atlanta Braves (85-77) 2. Washington Nationals (83-79)
3. N.Y. Mets (82-80) 3. N.Y. Mets (77-85) 3. Miami Marlins (71-91)
4. Atlanta Braves (71-91) 4. Philadelphia Phillies (73-89) 4. Atlanta Braves (67-95)
5. Philadelphia Phillies (63-99) 5. Miami Marlins (72-90) 5. Philadelphia Phillies (63-99)
NL Central
1. St. Louis Cardinals (91-71) 1. St. Louis Cardinals (92-70) 1. St. Louis Cardinals (100-62)
2. Pittsburgh Pirates (88-74) 2. Pittsburgh Pirates (90-72) 2. Pittsburgh Pirates (98-64)
3. Chicago Cubs (82-80) 3. Cincinnati Reds (81-81) 3. Chicago Cubs (97-65)
4. Milwaukee Brewers (74-88) 4. Milwaukee Brewers (79-83) 4. Milwaukee Brewers (68-94)
5. Cincinnati Reds (73-89) 5. Chicago Cubs (71-91) 5. Cincinnati Reds (64-98)
NL West
1. L.A. Dodgers (95-67) 1. L.A. Dodgers (93-69) 1. L.A. Dodgers (92-70)
2. San Francisco Giants (84-78) 2. San Francisco Giants (84-78) 2. San Francisco Giants (84-78)
3. San Diego Padres (83-79) 3. San Diego Padres (77-85) 3. Arizona Diamondbacks (79-83)
4. Colorado Rockies (69-93) 4. Arizona Diamondbacks (70-92) 4. San Diego Padres (74-88)
5. Arizona Diamondbacks (65-97) 5. Colorado Rockies (69-93) 5. Colorado Rockies (68-94)

2015 predictions

As usual, making use of a quick-and-dirty formula from an old Bill James Baseball Abstract for what I’ve labeled the Baseballrelated.com prediction.

The Sports Illustrated World Series matchup is the Indians vs. Nationals, with Cleveland prevailing. Lotsa luck, Tribe!

Sports Illustrated prediction Baseballrelated.com prediction
AL East
1. Boston Red Sox (89-73) 1. Baltimore Orioles (92-70)
2. Toronto Blue Jays (84-78) 2. N.Y. Yankees (84-78)
3. Baltimore Orioles (82-80) 3. Tampa Bay Rays (82-80)
4. New York Yankees (77-85) 4. Toronto Blue Jays (80-82)
5. Tampa Bay Rays (74-88) 4. Boston Red Sox (80-82)
AL Central
1. Cleveland Indians (92-70) 1. Detroit Tigers (91-71)
2. Detroit Tigers (87-75) 2. Kansas City Royals (88-74)
3. Chicago White Sox (83-79) 3. Cleveland Indians (87-75)
4. Kansas City Royals (78-84) 4. Chicago White Sox (70-92)
5. Minnesota Twins (67-95) 5. Minnesota Twins (69-93)
AL West
1. Seattle Mariners (95-67) 1. L.A. Angels (91-71)
2. L.A. Angels (92-70) 1. Oakland Athletics (91-71)
3. Oakland Athletics (81-81) 3. Seattle Mariners (82-80)
4. Texas Rangers (73-89) 4. Texas Rangers (75-87)
5. Houston Astros (72-90) 5. Houston Astros (64-98)
NL East
1. Washington Nationals (99-63) 1. Washington Nationals (93-69)
2. Miami Marlins (85-77) 2. Atlanta Braves (85-77)
3. N.Y. Mets (82-80) 3. N.Y. Mets (77-85)
4. Atlanta Braves (71-91) 4. Philadelphia Phillies (73-89)
5. Philadelphia Phillies (63-99) 5. Miami Marlins (72-90)
NL Central
1. St. Louis Cardinals (91-71) 1. St. Louis Cardinals (92-70)
2. Pittsburgh Pirates (88-74) 2. Pittsburgh Pirates (90-72)
3. Chicago Cubs (82-80) 3. Cincinnati Reds (81-81)
4. Milwaukee Brewers (74-88) 4. Milwaukee Brewers (79-83)
5. Cincinnati Reds (73-89) 5. Chicago Cubs (71-91)
NL West
1. L.A. Dodgers (95-67) 1. L.A. Dodgers (93-69)
2. San Francisco Giants (84-78) 2. San Francisco Giants (84-78)
3. San Diego Padres (83-79) 3. San Diego Padres (77-85)
4. Colorado Rockies (69-93) 4. Arizona Diamondbacks (70-92)
5. Arizona Diamondbacks (65-97) 5. Colorado Rockies (69-93)

2014 predictions in review

I told you that Sports Illustrated’s prediction that the Rays would win the AL East was the kiss of death! Now we have no Hope, no Jobs, and no Maddon — at least we have Cash.

Other obvious disappointments: Red Sox, Rangers, Reds.

Sports Illustrated Baseballrelated.com Actual Results
AL East
1. Tampa Bay Rays (95-67) 1. Tampa Bay Rays (91-71) 1. Baltimore Orioles (96-66)
2. Boston Red Sox (92-70) 2. Baltimore Orioles (88-74) 2. New York Yankees (84-78)
3. N.Y. Yankees (82-80) 2. Boston Red Sox (88-74) 3. Toronto Blue Jays (77-85)
4. Baltimore Orioles (78-84) 2. N.Y. Yankees (88-74) 4. Tampa Bay Rays (77-85)
5. Toronto Blue Jays (73-89) 5. Toronto Blue Jays (74-88) 5. Boston Red Sox (71-91)
AL Central
1. Detroit Tigers (92-70) 1. Detroit Tigers (92-70) 1. Detroit Tigers (90-72)
2. Kansas City Royals (88-74) 2. Cleveland Indians (84-78) 2. Kansas City Royals (89-73)
3. Cleveland Indians (82-80) 3. Kansas City Royals (81-81) 3. Cleveland Indians (85-77)
4. Chicago White Sox (65-97) 4. Chicago White Sox (70-92) 4. Chicago White Sox (73-69)
5. Minnesota Twins (62-100) 5. Minnesota Twins (66-96) 5. Minnesota Twins (70-92)
AL West
1. Oakland Athletics (94-68) 1. Oakland Athletics (95-67) 1. L.A. Angels (98-64)
2. Texas Rangers (90-72) 2. Texas Rangers (92-70) 2. Oakland Athletics (88-74)
3. L.A. Angels (78-84) 3. L.A. Angels (82-80) 3. Seattle Mariners (87-75)
4. Seattle Mariners (76-86) 4. Seattle Mariners (72-90) 4. Houston Astros (70-92)
5. Houston Astros (57-105) 5. Houston Astros (52-110) 5. Texas Rangers (67-95)
NL East
1. Washington Nationals (96-66) 1. Atlanta Braves (95-67) 1. Washington Nationals (96-66)
2. Atlanta Braves (84-78) 2. Washington Nationals (90-72) 2. Atlanta Braves (79-83)
3. N.Y. Mets (73-89) 3. Philadelphia Phillies (76-86) 2. N.Y. Mets (79-83)
4. Philadelphia Phillies (67-95) 4. N.Y. Mets (74-88) 4. Miami Marlins (77-85)
5. Miami Marlins (65-97) 5. Miami Marlins (64-98) 5. Philadelphia Phillies (73-89)
NL Central
1. St. Louis Cardinals (96-66) 1. St. Louis Cardinals (94-68) 1. St. Louis Cardinals (90-72)
2. Cincinnati Reds (91-71) 2. Cincinnati Reds (92-70) 2. Pittsburgh Pirates (88-74)
3. Pittsburgh Pirates (83-79) 3. Pittsburgh Pirates (89-73) 3. Milwaukee Brewers (82-80)
4. Milwaukee Brewers (79-83) 4. Milwaukee Brewers (77-85) 4. Cincinnati Reds (76-86)
5. Chicago Cubs (62-100) 5. Chicago Cubs (64-98) 5. Chicago Cubs (73-89)
NL West
1. L.A. Dodgers (99-63) 1. L.A. Dodgers (90-72) 1. L.A. Dodgers (94-68)
2. San Francisco Giants (92-70) 2. San Francisco Giants (82-80) 2. San Francisco Giants (88-74)
3. San Diego Padres (84-78) 3. Arizona Diamondbacks (81-81) 3. San Diego Padres (77-85)
4. Arizona Diamondbacks (79-83) 4. San Diego Padres (76-86) 4. Colorado Rockies (66-96)
5. Colorado Rockies (76-86) 5. Colorado Rockies (71-91) 5. Arizona Diamondbacks (64-98)

2014 predictions

The notes about this site at the beginning of the 2013 predictions post are still applicable.

Once again, Sports Illustrated has picked the Rays to win the AL East. Noooo, that’s the kiss of death!

Their World Series matchup is A’s vs. Nationals, with the Nationals winning. I’ll believe it when I see it.

Sports Illustrated prediction Baseballrelated.com prediction
AL East
1. Tampa Bay Rays (95-67) 1. Tampa Bay Rays (91-71)
2. Boston Red Sox (92-70) 2. Baltimore Orioles (88-74)
3. N.Y. Yankees (82-80) 2. Boston Red Sox (88-74)
4. Baltimore Orioles (78-84) 2. N.Y. Yankees (88-74)
5. Toronto Blue Jays (73-89) 5. Toronto Blue Jays (74-88)
AL Central
1. Detroit Tigers (92-70) 1. Detroit Tigers (92-70)
2. Kansas City Royals (88-74) 2. Cleveland Indians (84-78)
3. Cleveland Indians (82-80) 3. Kansas City Royals (81-81)
4. Chicago White Sox (65-97) 4. Chicago White Sox (70-92)
5. Minnesota Twins (62-100) 5. Minnesota Twins (66-96)
AL West
1. Oakland Athletics (94-68) 1. Oakland Athletics (95-67)
2. Texas Rangers (90-72) 2. Texas Rangers (92-70)
3. L.A. Angels (78-84) 3. L.A. Angels (82-80)
4. Seattle Mariners (76-86) 4. Seattle Mariners (72-90)
5. Houston Astros (57-105) 5. Houston Astros (52-110)
NL East
1. Washington Nationals (96-66) 2. Atlanta Braves (95-67)
2. Atlanta Braves (84-78) 2. Washington Nationals (90-72)
3. N.Y. Mets (73-89) 3. Philadelphia Phillies (76-86)
4. Philadelphia Phillies (67-95) 4. N.Y. Mets (74-88)
5. Miami Marlins (65-97) 5. Miami Marlins (64-98)
NL Central
1. St. Louis Cardinals (96-66) 1. St. Louis Cardinals (94-68)
2. Cincinnati Reds (91-71) 2. Cincinnati Reds (92-70)
3. Pittsburgh Pirates (83-79) 3. Pittsburgh Pirates (89-73)
4. Milwaukee Brewers (79-83) 4. Milwaukee Brewers (77-85)
5. Chicago Cubs (62-100) 5. Chicago Cubs (64-98)
NL West
1. L.A. Dodgers (99-63) 1. L.A. Dodgers (90-72)
2. San Francisco Giants (92-70) 2. San Francisco Giants (82-80)
3. San Diego Padres (84-78) 3. Arizona Diamondbacks (81-81)
4. Arizona Diamondbacks (79-83) 4. San Diego Padres (76-86)
5. Colorado Rockies (76-86) 5. Colorado Rockies (71-91)

The 2013 predictions in review

As if you needed another reminder of how surprising the Red Sox’s 2013 season was.

Sports Illustrated Baseballrelated.com Actual Results
AL East
1. Tampa Bay Rays (92-70) 1. N.Y. Yankees (96-66) 1. Boston Red Sox (97-65)
2. Toronto Blue Jays (91-71) 2. Tampa Bay Rays (90-72) 2. Tampa Bay Rays (92-71)
3. N.Y. Yankees (82-80) 3. Baltimore Orioles (85-77) 3. Baltimore Orioles (85-77)
3. Baltimore Orioles (82-80) 4. Boston Red Sox (76-86) 3. New York Yankees (85-77)
5. Boston Red Sox (77-85) 4. Toronto Blue Jays (76-86) 5. Toronto Blue Jays (74-88)
AL Central
1. Detroit Tigers (94-68) 1. Detroit Tigers (90-72) 1. Detroit Tigers (93-69)
2. Kansas City Royals (83-79) 2. Chicago White Sox (83-79) 2. Cleveland Indians (92-70)
3. Chicago White Sox (81-81) 3. Cleveland Indians (72-90) 3. Kansas City Royals (86-76)
4. Cleveland Indians (75-87) 3. Kansas City Royals (72-90) 4. Minnesota Twins (66-96)
5. Minnesota Twins (60-102) 5. Minnesota Twins (65-97) 5. Chicago White Sox (63-99)
AL West
1. L.A. Angels (95-67) 1. Texas Rangers (94-68) 1. Oakland Athletics (96-66)
2. Texas Rangers (91-71) 2. L.A. Angels (88-74) 2. Texas Rangers (91-72)
3. Oakland Athletics (90-72) 2. Oakland Athletics (88-74) 3. Los Angeles Angels (78-84)
4. Seattle Mariners (78-84) 4. Seattle Mariners (72-90) 4. Seattle Mariners (71-91)
5. Houston Astros (50-112) 5. Houston Astros (55-107) 5. Houston Astros (51-111)
NL East
1. Washington Nationals (100-62) 1. Atlanta Braves (92-70) 1. Atlanta Braves (96-66)
2. Atlanta Braves (95-67) 1. Washington Nationals (92-70) 2. Washington Nationals (86-76)
3. Philadelphia Phillies (82-80) 3. Philadelphia Phillies (88-74) 3. N.Y. Mets (74-88)
4. N.Y. Mets (75-87) 4. N.Y. Mets (75-87) 4. Philadelphia Phillies (73-89)
5. Miami Marlins (60-102) 5. Miami Marlins (70-92) 5. Miami Marlins (62-100)
NL Central
1. Cincinnati Reds (95-67) 1. Cincinnati Reds (91-71) 1. St. Louis Cardinals (97-65)
2. St. Louis Cardinals (83-79) 2. St. Louis Cardinals (89-73) 2. Pittsburgh Pirates (94-68)
3. Milwaukee Brewers (77-85) 3. Milwaukee Brewers (87-73) 3. Cincinnati Reds (90-72)
4. Pittsburgh Pirates (76-86) 4. Pittsburgh Pirates (77-85) 4. Milwaukee Brewers (74-88)
5. Chicago Cubs (67-95) 5. Chicago Cubs (64-98) 5. Chicago Cubs (66-96)
NL West
1. San Francisco Giants (91-71) 1. San Francisco Giants (91-71) 1. L.A. Dodgers (92-70)
2. L.A. Dodgers (90-72) 2. Arizona Diamondbacks (85-77) 2. Arizona Diamondbacks (81-81)
3. Arizona Diamondbacks (79-83) 2. L.A. Dodgers (85-77) 3. San Diego Padres (76-86)
4. San Diego Padres (71-91) 4. San Diego Padres (74-88) 3. San Francisco Giants (76-86)
5. Colorado Rockies (68-94) 5. Colorado Rockies (67-95) 5. Colorado Rockies (74-88)

2013 predictions

Before I get to the predictions, a few updates and reminders about this site:

  • For long-form blogging from Levi, look to I’ve Been Reading Lately, where he expounds about the books he reads.
  • Levi also tweets at @levistahl on occasion — and sometimes he even mentions baseball.
  • I tweet at @trainman74, more frequently than Levi does — and, again, sometimes I even mention baseball. I’m still unemployed from last year, but unlike last year, I won’t be in Ireland for Opening Day, so I do plan to live-tweet while I watch the games on TV via the MLB Extra Innings free preview. Opening Day being April 1 this year, I might even make up stuff. For example, I might mention that the Dodgers have a $250 million payroll. Ha ha! That’s clearly a ridiculous number.
  • As for baseball road trips, which — you may recall from way back when — are really the entire raison d’etre of this site: no plans. My ongoing unemployment makes a road trip pretty much a non-starter this season for financial reasons, and as for the future, Levi and I haven’t discussed anything. For this season, I’m mainly looking forward to the Rays’ August visit to Dodger Stadium (as well as their Angel Stadium visit in September), which I hope I’ll have enough money to attend!
  • Now that I visited New Yankee Stadium last June, there are 9 current MLB stadiums that I have not been to. I haven’t been keeping up with the “Jim’s MLB Games” link in the sidebar at left, but I have scanned all my baseball ticket stubs — which includes all but the first two MLB games I attended (in 1983 and 1987), as well as all the minor-league games from 1989 on.

On to the predictions. I want to note for the record that Sports Illustrated picked the Nationals to win the NL pennant, and the Rays to win in the AL. I also want to note that I think the cold equation that creates the baseballrelated.com predictions has the Yankees too high.

And…poor Astros. At least neither we nor Sports Illustrated foresee you outdoing the 1962 Mets (or the 1935 Boston Braves).

Sports Illustrated Baseballrelated.com
AL East
1. Tampa Bay Rays (92-70) 1. N.Y. Yankees (96-66)
2. Toronto Blue Jays (91-71) 2. Tampa Bay Rays (90-72)
3. N.Y. Yankees (82-80) 3. Baltimore Orioles (85-77)
3. Baltimore Orioles (82-80) 4. Boston Red Sox (76-86)
5. Boston Red Sox (77-85) 4. Toronto Blue Jays (76-86)
AL Central
1. Detroit Tigers (94-68) 1. Detroit Tigers (90-72)
2. Kansas City Royals (83-79) 2. Chicago White Sox (83-79)
3. Chicago White Sox (81-81) 3. Cleveland Indians (72-90)
4. Cleveland Indians (75-87) 3.
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Kansas City Royals (72-90)

5. Minnesota Twins (60-102) 5. Minnesota Twins (65-97)
AL West
1. L.A. Angels (95-67) 1. Texas Rangers (94-68)
2. Texas Rangers (91-71) 2. L.A. Angels (88-74)
3. Oakland Athletics (90-72) 2. Oakland Athletics (88-74)
4. Seattle Mariners (78-84) 4. Seattle Mariners (72-90)
5. Houston Astros (50-112) 5. Houston Astros (55-107)
NL East
1. Washington Nationals (100-62) 1. Atlanta Braves (92-70)
2. Atlanta Braves (95-67) 1. Washington Nationals (92-70)
3. Philadelphia Phillies (82-80) 3. Philadelphia Phillies (88-74)
4. N.Y. Mets (75-87) 4. N.Y. Mets (75-87)
5. Miami Marlins (60-102) 5. Miami Marlins (70-92)
NL Central
1. Cincinnati Reds (95-67) 1. Cincinnati Reds (91-71)
2. St. Louis Cardinals (83-79) 2. St. Louis Cardinals (89-73)
3. Milwaukee Brewers (77-85) 3. Milwaukee Brewers (87-73)
4. Pittsburgh Pirates (76-86) 4. Pittsburgh Pirates (77-85)
5. Chicago Cubs (67-95) 5. Chicago Cubs (64-98)
NL West
1. San Francisco Giants (91-71) 1. San Francisco Giants (91-71)
2. L.A. Dodgers (90-72) 2. Arizona Diamondbacks (85-77)
3. Arizona Diamondbacks (79-83) 2. L.A. Dodgers (85-77)
4. San Diego Padres (71-91) 4. San Diego Padres (74-88)
5. Colorado Rockies (68-94) 5. Colorado Rockies (67-95)

The 2012 predictions in review

Still alive. As usual, to remind you of what happened last year, here are our mathematics-based predictions and Sports Illustrated’s expertise-based predictions compared to the actual results of the 2012 MLB season. Very obvious that the Orioles and the Nationals beat expectations (and the Red Sox did…not). If it’s possible to be proud of my ability to do addition and division on a calculator, then I’m most proud of our correct prediction about the Marlins’ order of finish, compared to Sports Illustrated having bought the hype that, hard as it is to believe now, actually existed around the Marlins at this time last year. 2013 predictions to come later this week, after SI arrives in my mailbox.

Especially

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Sports Illustrated prediction Baseballrelated.com prediction Actual Results
AL East
1. N.Y. Yankees (95-67) 1. N.Y. Yankees (96-66) 1. N.Y. Yankees (95-67)
2. Tampa Bay Rays (92-70) 2. Tampa Bay Rays (93-69) 2. Baltimore Orioles (93-69)
3. Boston Red Sox (91-71) 3. Boston Red Sox (90-72) 3. Tampa Bay Rays (90-72)
4. Toronto Blue Jays (85-77) 4. Toronto Blue Jays (82-80) 4. Toronto Blue Jays (73-89)
5. Baltimore Orioles (63-99) 5. Baltimore Orioles (68-94) 5. Boston Red Sox (69-93)
AL Central
1. Detroit Tigers (93-69) 1. Detroit Tigers (90-72) 1. Detroit Tigers (88-74)
2. Kansas City Royals (82-80) 2. Chicago White Sox (82-80) 2. Chicago White Sox
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(85-77)

3. Cleveland Indians (80-82) 3. Cleveland Indians (76-86) 3. Kansas City Royals (72-90)
4. Minnesota Twins (72-90) 4. Minnesota Twins (73-89) 4. Cleveland Indians (68-94)
5. Chicago White Sox (67-95) 5. Kansas City Royals (70-92) 5. Minnesota Twins (66-96)
AL West
1. L.A. Angels (97-65) 1. Texas Rangers (94-68) 1. Oakland Athletics (94-68)
2. Texas Rangers (94-68) 2. L.A. Angels (84-78) 2. Texas Rangers (93-69)
3. Oakland Athletics (68-94) 3. Oakland Athletics (76-86) 4. L.A. Angels (89-73)
4. Seattle Mariners (64-98) 4. Seattle Mariners (65-97) 4. Seattle Mariners (75-87)
NL East
1. Philadelphia Phillies (94-68) 1. Philadelphia Phillies (100-62) 1. Washington Nationals (98-64)
2. Miami Marlins (89-73) 2. Atlanta Braves (90-72) 2. Atlanta Braves (94-68)
3. Washington Nationals (84-78) 3. N.Y. Mets (78-84) 3. Miami Marlins (69-93)
4. Atlanta Braves (82-80) 4. Washington Nationals (76-86) 4. N.Y. Mets (74-88)
5. N.Y. Mets (75-87) 5. Miami Marlins (75-87) 5. Miami Marlins (69-93)
NL Central
1. Cincinnati Reds (89-73) 1. Milwaukee Brewers (90-72) 1. Cincinnati Reds (97-65)
2. St. Louis Cardinals (87-75) 2. St. Louis Cardinals (89-73) 2. St. Louis Cardinals (88-74)
3. Milwaukee Brewers (84-78) 3. Cincinnati Reds (83-79) 3. Milwaukee Brewers (83-79)
4. Pittsburgh Pirates (70-92) 4. Chicago Cubs (72-90) 4. Pittsburgh Pirates (79-83)
5. Chicago Cubs (66-96) 5. Pittsburgh Pirates (67-95) 5. Chicago Cubs (61-101)
6. Houston Astros (57-105) 6. Houston Astros (63-99) 6. Houston Astros (55-107)
NL West
1. San Francisco Giants (90-72) 1. San Francisco Giants (88-74) 1. San Francisco Giants (94-68)
2. Arizona Diamondbacks (88-74) 2. Arizona Diamondbacks (84-78) 2. L.A. Dodgers (86-76)
3. L.A. Dodgers (83-79) 3. L.A. Dodgers (81-81) 3. Arizona Diamondbacks (81-81)
4. Colorado Rockies (79-83) 4. San Diego Padres (77-85) 4. San Diego Padres (76-86)
5. San Diego Padres (70-92) 5. Colorado Rockies (76-86) 5. Colorado Rockies (64-98)

Baseball Related Dot Com

Here’s a question you didn’t know you had: what if you take various Hall of Fame candidates and type them into your

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