Before I get to the predictions, a few updates and reminders about this site:
For long-form blogging from Levi, look to I’ve Been Reading Lately, where he expounds about the books he reads.
Levi also tweets at @levistahl on occasion — and sometimes he even mentions baseball.
I tweet at @trainman74, more frequently than Levi does — and, [...]
As usual, to remind you of what happened last year, here are our mathematics-based predictions and Sports Illustrated’s expertise-based predictions compared to the actual results of the 2012 MLB season.
Very obvious that the Orioles and the Nationals beat expectations (and the Red Sox did…not). If it’s possible to be proud of my ability to [...]
First of all, I’d say the Cardinals have found their replacement for Albert Pujols!
I’m currently out of work, which would have allowed me to sit in front of the TV on Opening Day and live-tweet, as I did in some past years (even before Twitter was invented) — but instead, I’m going to be in [...]
And here’s what has become the entire raison d’être of this site’s existence, in which we compare the Sports Illustrated projections and our own mathematical formula projections with the actual results.
As you can see, neither we nor SI predicted the Diamondbacks doing as well as they did, nor the Twins doing so poorly. Please note [...]
Oh, it’s this thing again. The Sports Illustrated picks, and our ridiculous mathematical picks. SI didn’t include a Player to Watch feature this year, which is good, because it means I don’t have to write 30 stupid jokes about baseball players’ names.
Actually, I do have one legitimate Player to Watch: Evan Longoria, now that we [...]
Once again, it’s time to look back and see how two entities did with their predictions for the 2010 season: Sports Illustrated, with their decades of baseball expertise, and this website, with a simple formula I have from an old Bill James Abstract and a deep desire to make fun of baseball players’ names.
In the [...]
Hey, the baseball season starts tomorrow! Here are the 2010 predictions from both Sports Illustrated and a quick-and-dirty Bill James formula [(2009 wins*2)+(2008 wins)/3].
Sports Illustrated picked one Player To Watch for each team, so I’ve done the same. However, instead of actual analysis of each player’s strengths and what they bring to [...]
For those of you just tuning in, for the past couple of years, I’ve been comparing Sports Illustrated’s baseball preview issue’s predictions for the upcoming season with the predictions generated by a quick-and-dirty formula from an old Bill James Baseball Abstract that only takes previous season win totals into effect. Here’s what happened with [...]
And without further adieu…
Bill James formula
1. N.Y. Yankees (97-65)
1. Boston Red Sox (95-67)
2. Boston Red Sox (96-66)
2. N.Y. Yankees (91-71)
3. Tampa Bay Rays (90-72)
3. Tampa Bay Rays (87-69)
4. Baltimore Orioles (80-82)
4. Toronto Blue Jays (85-77)
5. Toronto Blue Jays (79-83)
5. Baltimore Orioles (68-93)
1. Minnesota Twins (85-77)
1. Cleveland Indians (86-76)
2. Cleveland Indians (82-80)
2. Minnesota [...]
I can’t believe I forgot to do this last year, especially given what happened in the American League East! In my defense, I was more interested in this prediction at the time.
For those of you just joining us, every year, baseballrelated.com presents the predictions from the baseball preview issue of Sports Illustrated, as well [...]