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The predictive power of baseballrelated.com

On this very blog, on May 25, 2004, Levi made a comment referring to a future Barack Obama presidency. As you may notice, that was several months before Obama’s speech at the 2004 Democratic National Convention brought him into the spotlight. See for yourself.

However, Levi assumed Obama’s election would come in 2012 (presumably, [...]

Predictions for 2008

Yes, this blog is still in business. It’s time for our annual look at the Sports Illustrated baseball predictions, all the better to laugh about later when the Cubs do not win the National League pennant. (Yes, that’s what SI has predicted — a Tigers-Cubs World Series, in fact, with the Tigers victorious.) [...]

The predictions in review

The predictions were posted on March 29th, and exactly seven months later, it’s now time to see how everyone did.

Actual results

Sports Illustrated

Bill James formula

Levi’s predictions

AL East

1. Boston Red Sox (96-66)

1. N.Y. Yankees

1. N.Y. Yankees (96-66)

1. Boston Red Sox

2. N.Y. Yankees (94-68)

2. Boston Red Sox

2. Boston Red Sox (89-73)

2. N.Y. Yankees

3. Toronto Blue Jays (83-79)

3. Toronto [...]

The predictions

Yes, my Sports Illustrated baseball preview issue arrived a week ago, but their predictions were printed on a dark green background in white text that came out a little blurry in my copy. And that’s why it’s taken me so long to post these!

Also, I realize I haven’t yet used Bill James’s quick-and-dirty prediction [...]

Seasonal statistics

As has become baseballrelated.com custom, it’s time to look back at the predictions for the 2006 regular season. This year, not only did we have the Sports Illustrated predictions, but I had also used a simple Bill James formula to make advanced predictions way back on the first day of November 2005.

So…uh, well, nobody [...]

"He's sittin' on 714"

I’m not sure if “honor” is the right word, but in honor of Barry Bonds’ current home run total, here’s Milo Hamilton’s call of Hank Aaron’s 715th home run on April 8, 1974, while both members of baseballrelated.com were ensconced in wombs.

Meanwhile, Albert Pujols is on the cover of Sports Illustrated again, for the second [...]

If it's the last Thursday in March...

In Levi’s honor, Albert Pujols is on the cover of the Sports Illustrated baseball preview issue this year. And once again, here are their predictions, posted here so we can refer to them during the season and laugh at them in October.

NL East1. Atlanta Braves2. New York Mets3. Philadelphia Phillies4. Washington Nationals5. Florida Marlins

NL [...]

Spring is here, I hear

The Vernal Equinox has passed. It’s time for predictions.

Some ground rules:
1) Pick the Braves to win. Seriously. Just give up not doing so. I hate this rule, but if I’d followed it even once since 1991, I’d have picked better.

2) Pick the Royals for last.

3) If you’re really inspired, list the order of finish for [...]

Play ball, robots!

The magic robots over at Diamond Mind have released their annual player projections disc, in advance of their 2006 version of their game. Over at the Baseball Primer, a guy named SG ran 100 seasons with their projections, which Diamond Mind tends to do itself at some preseason point. The average number of wins they [...]

No need to play the games

Now we can get back to Bill James. Using a quick little formula provided in the 1986 edition of the Baseball Abstract, here are the early predictions for 2006:

AL East

N.Y. Yankees (93-69)Boston Red Sox (91-71)Toronto Blue Jays (77-85)Baltimore Orioles (76-86)Tampa Bay Devil Rays (71-91)

AL Central

Chicago White Sox (90-72)Cleveland Indians (87-75)Minnesota Twins (84-78)Detroit Tigers (73-89)Kansas [...]